The Ann Selzer Earthquake

How One Poll Raises Questions About What We Thought We Knew

Photo by Austin Goode on Unsplash

If you’re not a political junkie, you almost certainly have no clue who J. Ann Selzer is. But if you care about politics, you wait around on the Saturday night before every election because you know that Selzer’s final Iowa poll for the Des Moines Register is coming.

Her track record is as good as almost any pollster — f…